Wednesday 8 February 2012

The Inevitable Fields of Red

13 - 07 - 11


Terrorism is a loaded word that is defined as violent acts intended to create fear with disregard or deliberate targeting of civilians. The boundaries drawn are already very blurred, as any act of violence by a group will have some component of fear. The UN bombing of Gadaffi's palace has a component of fear the world hopes will discourage his supporters. The fear aspect of the definition I feel is therefore misleading, and in any case, is far too complicated to pigeonhole real world acts and circumstances into. The word itself has been and will be used controversially. As the saying goes; one man's terrorist is another's freedom fighter. State authorities have begun using the term to delegitimize opposition as the instant negative connotations associated with the word have been drilled into our brains throughout the last decade (even Gaddafi has been using the word against those that disagree) as buzzwords that are said to provoke a “feeling” in us. Don’t fall for it…


    As someone who does not prescribe to a deity, I hold the opinion that not all life is equal. Humans, I believe are more important than other animals, just as a cow is more important than a fly. Even such proponents of the 'all life is sacred' philosophy such as a Buddhist or Hindu would save the life of a human child over a pup. Within the homo sapien sapiens species, further classifications on importance can be dictated by the moral character of a person. Put simply, I believe the life of a good person is worth more than of a bad person. While I hold that opinion, I would never condone the murder of any innocents. Terrorists kill innocents and for that reason I will never back a terrorist organisation. With that said, people have to look at causes and whether there are any real justifications for actions. Painting everyone with the same ignorant brush is not an accurate analysis of a situation nor is it an effective way to resolve the issues. It is also a naive Bush-like (his administration came up with the phrase 'War on Terror' and classified an enormous variety of violent groups together under the label 'terrorist') way to deal with a problem that will elevate simple earthly conflicts to grand universal arenas as if there is some eternal fight between good and evil that terrorists are on the wrong side of. In the real world, there are shades of grey, in fact thousands of shades of thousands of colours, some of which are impossible to compare. Some 'terrorists' want insane, ridiculous ends while others want something legitimate that they may be entitled to. If we first take a look at actually insane terrorists, these are generally (in today's world) extremist Muslims with unrealistic demands like the total eradication of infidels. They are willing to throw their lives away not because they are brave men with a personal stake in the fight through years of injustice (they believe they will be rewarded when they die - not bravery) but because they are weak-willed and indoctrinated. They fight their cosmic wars because of their interpretations of out-dated sacred texts (the only thing that differentiated middle-class, westernised Osama Bin Laden from his siblings was his religiosity…). If those texts never existed, neither would they. They are not fighting for any worldly reason that can be justified to any objective observer. On the other hand of the debate are groups like Hamas and the Tamil Tigers. Do they kill innocents? Yes, and that is wrong. Do they have any sort of worldly justification? Again, yes. If you take a group's land away or treat them as second class citizens in their own countries, you are asking for trouble. Would you corner and beat a lion only to blame it for biting your hand off?
 
       Last week Channel 4 aired their documentary on war crimes committed by the Sri Lankan government in the final weeks of an epic 26 year old civil war as well as atrocities committed by the Tamil Tigers (LTTE). The horrible wrong-doings on the government's part are the second large unpunished acts of minor genocide (I hesitate to use the word) in the last 30 years carried out by the Sinhalese majority on the Tamil minority. Those not versed in Sri Lankan history, the first occurred in July 1983 (known as Black July). As with a lot of conflicts worldwide, it was a result of colonial rule and the inevitable departure. The Europeans preferred Tamils and would have them in positions of power (universities and politics were English dominated and due to missionary camps being set-up in the North and East of Sri Lanka, the Tamil-heavy areas, Tamils rose disproportionately to importance), which with independence was subsequently reversed to make Tamils legally and socially unequal to the Sinhalese. They could no longer get a decent education or job and Sinhalese was made the only national language with the 1956 'Sinhala Only Act'. From independence onward, there were countless reasonably minor explosions of tension including mob attacks, ethnic riots, arsine, etc. The real start of the conflict can be traced to an attack on and death of 15 army soldiers in 1983. Over the course of July that year, the retaliation from the Sinhalese civilian population was astronomical, with thousands of Tamils rounded up and murdered, while hundreds of thousands were left homeless as they had to flee the violence (the reason there are so many Tamils in the UK, Canada and other parts of Europe). Essentially, government support was unofficially given to the mobs as they were equipped with voter registration lists to identify the location of Tamils. Weak-willed actions such as unforced curfews were declared which were seen as more a partial face-saving tactic that actual deterrent. Can you imagine a government sitting back while one ethnicity of citizens slaughtered another? From that point on, the relationship between the two language ethnicities has been bloody and brutal with the rise of a number of Tamil militant groups.

       Even that simplified version of history shows why such groups as the LTTE exist. More importantly, it shows that addressing the problem will require more than the disbanding of the LTTE. If your son hits your daughter for throwing his toy at him and breaking it, you don't only just discipline your son. He reacted to the situation. In the real world, he reacted out of necessity or perceived necessity. I'm not saying what the son did was right, just that to resolve the issue, both parties need to make fundamental changes. Even until today, not one person has been charged with any crimes relating to Black July 1983 or the war crimes outlined by Channel 4. It is easy to see why some Sri Lankan Tamils may become angered when their home country and country of ethnic origin (at least for a few hundred years) is complacent and even the cause of destroying large portions of their own people. So much so that they would openly wave the flags of and associate themselves with those that kill innocents (LTTE). Every son of a murdered Tamil in 1983 grew up with an intense hate and desire for independence. A counter argument may take the form of 'peace is always the better option', but if you look throughout history, the number of battles won by peaceful means is outnumbered by the battles won involving violence by probably 10,000:1.  Peace is the better situation to exist in, no doubt, but not really an effective tool to get to such a state for most conflicts (at certain times in history). In fact, peace really only works (in pre-communication boom history) as a tool when you have majorities (i.e. most Indians wanted independence from the British, all African-Americans wanted equal rights, most Libyans and Egyptians wanted their leaders out). Things have to be brought to a standstill to achieve any form of substantial change (see tube strikes, etc). When it is 10% of a population, the other 90% will go on living their lives or quell the noise and it will be totally ineffective in showing up on the international radar. Unless the world is looking at you, the majority can do and post-fabricate any story they want. I do not see a peaceful march on August 1983 making any difference or receiving any global attention.

     It is looking hopeful that with communication as it is nowadays, the effectiveness of peaceful dissent is increasing. Although the world is watching closer, people have a tendency to become desensitised to and disinterested in distant struggles (as we've seen with Libya). There are still further steps that need to be made to increase peaceful change, but there can be no violent resolution to this conflict anymore. I do not see any future where the army after becoming overwhelmed by the violence, decide to surrender to the LTTE's demands.  I fear the exposé by Channel 4 (during the final weeks, hundreds of thousands of Sri Lankan Tamils were marching against these atrocities in London alone. For them, the Channel 4 documentary was not really revelatory. People wonder why groups lean towards violent methods when hundreds of thousands marching with the number stretching into the millions world-wide barely registers as a blip in the news cycle while one targeted bomb attack can fill the headlines for weeks) will probably add some fuel to the flame on both sides and push back chance of peace and prosperity a number of years. Despite this, justice is fairly important, even if the previous massacre is perceived as too long gone to prosecute (though they're still rounding up Nazis....). Legal bodies have a much higher code to live by, which is why situations with governments engaging in vulgar acts are infinitely worse than those perpetrated by private groups. Under the definitions of terrorism, both the Sri Lankan government and LTTE have engaged in actions used to create fear with total disregard for civilian lives, yet only side is legally named as 'terrorists'...

      When you hear words like terrorist or communist, please look a little further than the programming we're all wired to react with. The real world is not a Frank Miller graphic novel with morally absolute characters and black and white extremes. Everyone has a reason for their actions, no matter how terrible and while those reasons rarely justify extreme violence, they are symptoms of a deeper problem. The American kids who walk into schools and kill other students, no matter how awful, had their reasoning. If we just see them as pure evil entities, we will never address the issue of what caused them to act in such a way in the first place. It all depends on what you wish to achieve; if you need someone to point the finger at, carry on with the blanket definitions, but if you wish to prevent such actions in the future, a little more thought will be needed. To move forward, we need to evaluate validity of reasoning and analyse what needs to changed….on all sides.
    PS. Personally I do not see the benefit of a two state solution. As every country world-wide is becoming more globalised and integrated with each other, forming gigantuous legislative bodies (EU, NATO, etc), does Sri Lanka really need to be one of the few backtracking? Whether two state or not, Tamils and the Sinhalese still have to live side by side, and exclusive nationalism on either side will only complicate the situation. There needs to be heavy repercussions for any racially motivated crimes. There needs to be more integration between the two peoples until if people wish for an ethnic battle, they will have to be willing kill their neighbours or their own son's wife, etc. Tamils closing themselves off with a separate country will only help to stir the feelings of injustice that any Tamil with a memory that goes back to the 1983 or 2009 will have, into manifesting as violent thoughts. Two countries with a very recent history of ill-will and violence, with two separate ethnicities and languages inhabiting the same island will never end well... 

Skit [1]

All the articles before were written for a news and culture website as a volunteer journalist. www.theupcoming.co.uk
From here on in, it's me writing for no good reason :)

Round two: The 2012 US Election cycle kicks off

17 - 08 -11

Coming out of the debt ceiling deal, President Obama looked tired and defeated. His liberal base and fellow Democrats had felt let down by their President's necessity to compromise. Despite the disappointment, they are well aware of the hardships of negotiating with the increasingly right wing Republicans. The simple fact of the matter is that a bad economy will work towards the Republican's favourable outcome in 2012; tea party meetings held since the debt deal have cheered the news that the economy was taking a blow.

   Over the last week, the message from the President is one of rejuvenation. He has formally launched his re-election bid, and what has come with that is a bit of the partisan politics that the other side has been devout to over the last 3 years. Obama hopes to raise an unprecedented $1billion for his campaign. Coming out swinging, the President threw some punches, rallying "I want everyone to understand here, I'm not here just to enjoy the nice weather; I'm here to enlist you in a fight......You've got to send a message to Washington that it's time for the games to stop, it's time to put country first."

  While the President gathers his support, the other side is in the process of choosing a leader to oppose him. There are a number of hopefuls throwing their hat in the ring, while some have merely been dancing curiously close to the ring. The front-runner is Mormon Mitt Romney, an ex-Governor of Massachusetts and successful businessman known for being a bit of a flip-flopper on issues to suit what is required of him from the people at that point in time. Despite the lack of consistency and Mormon faith (which is likely to not go down well with evangelicals in his base), he has an impressive private sector record including turning round failing business. This could prove a vital skill if they economy in 2012 is as stagnant as it is now.

Rick Perry, a late addition to the candidates, is following in George W. Bush's footsteps with hopes for a promotion from Texas Governor to President. His qualities as a deeply religious social conservative who is fiscally restrained should allow him to cover all the bases necessary for a nomination from the right. His main challenger with similar qualities is tea party favourite Michelle Bachmann. She in turn, she will be wishing that Sarah Palin will not run as it would overlap into her base.

Mrs Palin who has been on a country-wide 'tour' that bears a striking resemblance to a campaign has yet to officially announce her bid. The mystery deepened last week when she just happened to be in IOWA while the televised Republican debates were taking place a few miles away. Although she has fiery support from the tea party, she has to be a polarising figure that will deter independents and centrists.

If Palin or Bachmann run, it will be an advantage to Obama as the pair really only have holds on the far right of the US electorate. Palin and Bachmann’s aversion to facts and logic will be sure to alienate people those outside the scope of the tea party. The real challenge for the Democrats will occur if Romney or Perry receives the Republican nomination as they both have crossover appeal for the undecided voters who generally decide elections.

  The President meanwhile has switched his focus to jobs this week while setting out of Washington into three Midwestern States that aided his victory in 2008. Following the last few years of criticism and difficulties encountered, President Obama's standing in these states has been diminished as has his standing throughout America. The Republicans have promised they will repeal the Healthcare bill that is to come into effect in 2013 if he should loose, so he will need to relight the flames of hope that ensured his first victory if he wishes to leave a lasting legacy.

   The Democratic campaign needs to remind the people of the situation for the first eight years of the decade. They need to advertise their achievements like the passing of the historic health care bill, the stimulus, reduction of troops from the two wars, the killing of Bin Laden, laying down new rules for Wall Street and most of all highlight the behaviour of their opposition during the crisis. Should the Democrats retain the Presidency in 2012, I foresee a shift in the political game for the duration of the second term. Presidents often stay centrist throughout their first terms in order to achieve the second. But once it is guaranteed, I see the anger and frustration that has been building in the Democrats being finally be let loose. I see a far more left-wing second term with less emphasis on bipartisanship…I see the gloves finally coming off.

London town is burning down

08-11-11


London has been engulfed in the flames of rioting and looting since Saturday night. The initial anger stemmed from the shooting of Mark Duggan by a Metropolitan Police Officer. Mr Duggan was a family man who also took part in drug dealing and other illicit activities in a Tottenham gang. Family and friends gathered outside Tottenham Police station on Saturday night looking for a simple official acknowledgement of his death. The failure of the Met Police to provide a satisfactory response or statement relating to his death fanned the flames of anger in the crowd.
After the families had left following failure to get a response, all that was left was a large group of young, angry men. Starting out as what could be described as a protest in exasperation to the incident; it quickly expanded beyond Tottenham into other London boroughs and eventually other cities, while becoming more of an anarchistic and opportunistic call to action.
The information that was originally released made known that there had been a two way shoot out between Mr Duggan and the Met Police. Subsequent information showed that this was a falsehood as it was revealed that Mr Duggan did not fire any shots. All that did not matter much at this stage to the rioters as the revelation came amidst the full swing of the looting.
    The shameful occurrences of theft, vandalism, arson and burglary escalated when three men in Birmingham were run over by a car while trying to protect their neighbourhood.  No sides looking on are arguing to defend the actions of those involved. David Cameron and Boris Johnson have been quick to dismiss any socioeconomic context, which as the party in control they have to downplay. Their party is also guilty of inflicting a large share of the burden on the working class with all the severe cuts so such a implicating discussion will be avoided at all costs.
      The question is not on the motives of the rioters. We can guess that greed, adrenaline rush, belief of impunity and gang mentality all played their part. The more important question is the underlying causes. This behaviour can only be perpetrated by those that believe they have no stake in society and their locale. We have a growing population of frustrated unskilled and undereducated youth with the perception that they are being marginalised and left behind. The economic turmoil coupled with government cuts, the bending over to rich bankers, government and media corruption played a sizeable part in creating a culture of despair.
   Those  that would take part in such gang activity are mainly from deprived neighbourhoods where they live without any social or educational aspirations. The job market has in recent times been failing graduates let alone inexperienced under qualified kids. The cutting of youth programs which served to keep the minds of these youth busy for a finite time results in groups of angry and idle youngsters with no purpose. The perception of the bleakness of their futures is also a very important catalyst. Youth in dire situations with a good sense and visibility of a road out are less likely to participate in illegal activities. It is only when they see no change, no chances, and no opportunities to leave their insulated neighbourhoods that the alternatives start looking inviting.
Violence is a daily occurrence in these areas and as such those inhabiting have been desensitised. Peers and aggressive grime artists reinforce social pressures on young men to act ‘hard’ to be manly.  These ‘artists’ and sports figures are the main role models, both of which are examples of a natural talent, not learned ones. Seeing those that take the short-cut to wealth creates a great disconnect to education. They perceive education as the hard road as opposed to the main road there.
As a result of the events of the last few days, millions of pounds in damage have been inflicted on public property, homes, local and national businesses and citizens have died. The police failed at arrest of Mark Duggan, failed breaking the news of his death, all just weeks after the head of London’s Metropolitan Police resigned over allegations of corruption. The greatest tragedy that can occur here is the continued refusal to address the culture of violence and hardship that we are imposing on our inner city youth. As a wise man once said, "A riot is the language of the unheard." (Martin Luther King, Jr)

American Debt Ceiling deal finally reached, but will it pass?

01-08-11  

 The US government had been attempting to reach a deal on the debt ceiling after weeks of political horseplay between the sides in their two party system. With the dreaded August 2nd deadline fast approaching, the implications of a record default on the debt ceiling acted as the catalyst for bipartisanship. The ambiguous reality of what would happen if America default’s on their debt is murky territory as it has never happened before. The predicted consequence from most economists seems to be a complete loss of faith the US economy. A minority do believe the effect will be much more minor like a slight slump in the market.
   From when talks commenced, Republicans have been calling for cuts to all government programs, while the Democrats have proposed a ‘balanced’ approach with cuts as well as revenue increase. That was the starting point. Over the last few weeks, the position of the Republicans has been one of refusal to compromise, while the Democrats have inched their proposal closer and closer to what the other side wants. The Democrat’s proposal as it was on Friday was one with more cuts than initially called for by the Republicans and yet was met with disapproval initially until an agreement was finally met on Sunday.
   The deal consists of $2.4 trillion deficit reduction over 10 years, a new congressional committee to recommend a deficit-reduction proposal and a two-stage increase of the debt ceiling. The plan still needs to pass in both houses (House of Representatives controlled by the Republicans and the Senate controlled by the Democrats) so the battle is not yet won.
Analysing it at a first glance, it seems the Republicans have come out on top after the two sides held the well-being of the country’s economy hostage. This strategy is nothing new for the Republican caucus which has had a strict policy of not cooperating under any circumstances with the other side since President Obama took office. The Speaker of the House John Boehner will need to rally all his Republican troops behind him in order to get this mandate through which will prove to be challenging with the new tea party wing of the Republicans.
    The tea party that emerged as defiance against government spending have been plagued with inexperienced members who have proven time and again their ignorance of politics, history and economics. Seemingly just held together by anger and opposition to change, there have been accusations of racism due to the nature of attacks perpetrated by the group; including the refusal to believe in the legitimacy of President Obama’s place of birth, belief he is a secret Muslim, and general unprecedented outrage about his liberal plans despite all actions pointing to a centrist President with a great propensity for compromise.
   The Democrats also have a hard road ahead to pass this deal as the more liberal wing of their party feel short-changed by the President who has once again caved into compromise with those unwilling to share the burden. They have been critical of the plan and President Obama’s leadership as it is all cuts with no tax increases; a far cry from their ideal plan. As with the health-care bill, when the President angered his liberal base when the single-payer option was dropped early on in debates without a serious fight or as with the decision to continue the Bush tax cuts on the wealthiest 1% of Americans. The White House has been quick to agree with the sentiments expressed but reminded the Democrats that they need to get this passed so they can concentrate on creating jobs. Due to small timeframe given for the decision, the President had to drop the Democrat’s main priorities including raising revenues via cutting corporate tax loopholes and ending the oil and gas industry subsidies.
   The Republicans have been opposed to such measures as well as any tax increases even for the wealthiest Americans, which all couple to reveal the chokehold of lobby groups in their party. Another criticism from the left-wing has been that the cuts to the government programs like Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security will hurt the middle class, playing into the opposition’s hands with the coming election. Campaigning has already begun for the 2012 election which surely is in the forefront of all minds while making decisions.
    When the President and the Speaker pass the deal today, the Democrats will have to confront their leadership, because it seems the Republicans have learnt they can win by being recklessly stubborn. Quoting Speaker of the House John Boehner, “There is nothing in this framework that violates our principles. It’s all spending cuts. The White House bid to raise taxes has been shut down."  

British Government announces £1.5 billion investment in the Territorial Army


  
25-07-11

Liam Fox, Britain's defence secretary announced last week that there will be an investment of £1.5 billion in the reserve forces of the British army (Territorial Army). His plan will increase the amount and percentage of reservists, while cutting the amount of regular Army soldiers by over 15,000 over the next 9 years. This shift will endeavour to bring the ratio of fulltime soldiers against the reserve to 70:30. The secretary's announcement attempts to emulate other English speaking nations like the US, Canada and Australia.

There has recently been a stress on slashing the defence budget as this news comes amidst a large number of Council protests against budget cuts to vital services such as bin collection. In times of hardship, the average citizen will find it hard to see the need for increasing the reserve Army while social services are falling apart due to underfunding.

The defence budget for Western nations has been a murky area in the modern era, where the actual implications and results of cuts and investments are hard to analyse. When facing adverse times, the need for efficiency becomes a greater priority. As a result of the mounting pressure, the defence ministry has already been facing sharp cuts under Britain's austerity measures. The EU defence ministers have been tackling the topic of defence under times of austerity over the last few months, with military pooling and sharing, joint development of weapons and partial integration of militaries being the crux of the outcomes of the debate.

The US has maintained a large portion of their soldiers as reserves, split between the US Army Reserve and the National Guard. This investment is therefore seen as a reworking of resources to create a more economical change to be comparable to the US model. Dr Fox has mentioned the idea of the TA doubling up as homeland security as and when they are needed in that role. Units stationed in Germany since World War II are to return to take over air force installations, leading to the question as to why these seemingly simple changes are only being implemented now.

Despite the many cuts, seeing that large number alongside “reserve Army” is bound to turn the heads of those struggling to pay bills. Defence is a strategically important part of the political game. No sides want to be seen as weak on defence, yet the balancing of prioritising more grounded, less ambiguous needs of the working and middle class against the vaguer global arena is a tricky game to play with a limited budget. There is currently wall between the general public and soldiers due to the small percentage of the UK involved in the military. The argument is not being made well for any increases in military spending. Shared sacrifice is necessary but unless Liam Fox and the government make a clearer case to the people, this move may be seen as a misallocation of scarce resources.

US Department of Justice targets Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse


17-07-11

“Transfer the funds to my Swiss bank account” the terrorist mutters in a muffled voice down the phone... We are all too familiar with stories of villains hiding their funds in an offshore Swiss account to avoid taxes. This week the reality seems to be catching up with the stereotype as once again, a Swiss bank, the second largest in Switzerland is targeted for aiding tax evasion by the US Department of Justice. Credit Suisse have already previously entered deferred-prosecution agreements on unrelated charges of assisting countries (like Iran, Burma and Libya) to avoid government sanctions. The largest Swiss bank UBS AG was also criminally charged with aiding tax evasion three years previously (later dropped due to UBS paying $780 million and turning over more than 4500 accounts). Recently Germany and the UK have been attempting to prosecute Swiss banks on similar charges. All painting the portrait of a greater crisis than an isolated instance of private sector wrong-doing.

      There seems to be a broader underlying cause possibly within the country of Switzerland itself. When looking at a map of the European Union, there is that one Switzerland-sized hole located just about in the centre which has resisted against overwhelming pressure to buckle into conformity from its geographic, economic, political and social neighbours. The Swiss bank privacy policy dictating the importance of secrecy dating back hundreds of years was made into law in 1934. For many Swiss citizens, it is a fundamental part of national identity. Meanwhile, the EU has been attempting to change Swiss policy as a step towards the ultimate goal of a unilateral tax regime amongst members and close associates. Despite their strong Swiss stance of neutrality and refraining from intervention in international affairs, 2/3 of their trade is conducted with EU members so burning friendly bridges is not a luxury they can afford. Political pressure was applied, not mentioning the finances of Swiss banks, but on defaming the national Swiss character, harking back to cases of withholding information on Nazi-victims, corrupt foreign officials, terrorists and dictators. Subsequently, Switzerland has cooperated with international bodies and have already adopted the OECD standards and imposed a withholding tax on EU residents (as a compromise than enables them to keep secrecy yet generate revenue).

    In the intercontinental grand scheme of things, while areas like Western Europe are able to impose stricter laws and regulations through political pressure, countries such as Singapore, who are not held down by such weights have started becoming a far more attractive location for ex-Swiss account money. In the 21st century these funds are easily transferred with modern technology away from the dreaded withholding tax of Europe’s remaining banking secrecy states. The problem seems to be bigger than Credit Suisse, bigger than Switzerland’s banking position, but a much larger point of international difficulties arising with globalisation and technology. In fact, even Credit Suisse’s international headquarters is now located in Singapore. Plugging these international tax holes is an extremely complex task, one that demonstrates that it was never about the autonomy of Switzerland, but simply where that money tree can be planted to grow the tallest.